I think that Fitzgerald’s case is based on the idea that Libby’s motivation to perjure and obstruct justice was to protect his boss, Cheney, who had directly ordered that Valerie Plame’s CIA covert status be told to the press. Therefore if Libby is convicted, Cheney is convicted too even if he’s not on trial. Therefore, a prediction: if Libby is convicted, Cheney will resign.
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