This is not at all a prediction of the likely electoral college outcome, but it is an illustration of how difficult it will be for Mitt Romney to win the election. Obama is currently leading in most or all polls of Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, and Virginia. He has several ways to win without Ohio, but Romney has virtually none. However, winning in Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio, among the swing states, is enough for victory. Note that I have pessimistically even given Romney an electoral vote in Maine, and that I gave him New Hampshire too, another place where Obama is ahead in the polls. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the Presidency.
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