Despite a highly coordinated blizzard of spurious stuff over the last 5 days about a “lesbian controversy hurting Kerry” filling the airwaves, all of the major polls taken after the debates were completely over (except Gallup, which has well-known problems of deliberate oversampling of Republicans and wild swings from poll to poll) show movement in Kerry’s direction. In this latest NYT poll Bush has a job approval of 44 percent. If that holds, he is doomed.
The Times/CBS News poll also suggested an area of vulnerability for Republicans in Congress. Only 38 percent of the poll’s respondents said they approved of the way Congress was doing its job; 46 percent of respondents said they planned to vote for the Democratic Congressional candidate, compared with 38 percent who said they would vote Republican.
And as of now, voters have a warmer view of the Democratic Party than of the Republican Party: 52 percent said they had a favorable view of the Democrats, compared with 47 for Republicans.
Keep in mind the Washington Post’s most recent poll has Kerry ahead by 53 to 43 in 13 crucial battleground states combined. Now, add in this comment from electoral-vote.com:
Perhaps more signficant, though, is the fact that in states where Kerry’s lead is at least 5%, he has 228 electoral votes. In states where Bush’s lead is at least 5%, he has 183 electoral votes. Clearly the race is still wide open.
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